Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.306176 1.482201 1.674294 1.899661 2.157064 2.442165 2.782273
2026-01-18 1.027618 1.264455 1.545490 1.904366 2.351657 2.892331 3.597833
2026-01-25 0.857368 1.115123 1.439097 1.877796 2.458878 3.205677 4.243918
2026-02-01 0.731942 0.995440 1.342369 1.835045 2.520805 3.447517 4.804985
2026-02-08 0.637376 0.900597 1.261245 1.794848 2.570147 3.664594 5.342618
2026-02-15 0.578944 0.846630 1.226794 1.810529 2.692365 3.987689 6.058401
2026-02-22 0.524444 0.791027 1.182074 1.803024 2.774859 4.255037 6.713419
2026-03-01 0.474514 0.736220 1.131641 1.779179 2.826165 4.475017 7.312232
2026-03-08 0.422411 0.672433 1.060518 1.714184 2.803072 4.571394 7.715129
2026-03-15 0.389752 0.635954 1.028147 1.706923 2.870746 4.817925 8.391379
2026-03-22 0.377546 0.631258 1.045927 1.783221 3.084212 5.326578 9.574752
2026-03-29 0.351305 0.600523 1.017444 1.777156 3.153282 5.590512 10.344529
2026-04-05 0.332384 0.583358 1.015055 1.825135 3.339345 6.110282 11.708914
2026-04-12 0.307427 0.553708 0.989078 1.830058 3.451662 6.516962 12.931281
2026-04-19 0.281151 0.518729 0.949548 1.804568 3.501961 6.809795 13.964152
2026-04-26 0.255933 0.483018 0.904804 1.763564 3.516018 7.031337 14.877410
2026-05-03 0.233904 0.451086 0.863832 1.725007 3.529518 7.251418 15.814770
2026-05-10 0.220424 0.434375 0.850415 1.740049 3.654478 7.715467 17.350504
2026-05-17 0.205825 0.413965 0.827577 1.732849 3.730811 8.083754 18.718982
2026-05-24 0.191047 0.391753 0.798894 1.709977 3.769868 8.373901 19.943699
2026-05-31 0.173943 0.363114 0.754235 1.647629 3.713280 8.441273 20.638702
2026-06-07 0.163424 0.347461 0.735470 1.640664 3.782433 8.806414 22.124448
2026-06-14 0.160503 0.347931 0.751356 1.713854 4.047821 9.667847 25.005401